Deterministic machine analysis · ABSTENTION REPORT
China's network filtering has no honest single rate
Multiple scoped instruments report observable network interference, while their incompatible panels, protocols and denominators rule out one national percentage.
Current gate result: Abstained because no live, rights-eligible network measurements remain to cite.
DETERMINISTIC MACHINE ANALYSIS · NO HUMAN INTERVIEW. This report uses checked-in aggregate evidence only. It cannot add testimony, observe private conduct or treat missing reporting as confirmation.
Sentence-level provenance
Analysis with citations attached
The paragraph is the published unit; the ledger beneath it shows the exact evidence IDs attached to each sentence and the de-duplicated lineage union for the block.
Claim block 1 · network-denominators
Live rights-eligible network measurements were unavailable. Excluded: ooni-gfw (not-live), in-path-interference (not-live), censored-planet (not-live), and inside-view (not-live).
Live rights-eligible network measurements were unavailable. Excluded: ooni-gfw (not-live), in-path-interference (not-live), censored-planet (not-live), and inside-view (not-live).
Sentence 1 citations: No evidence receipt cited
Block evidence union: No evidence receipt cited
Independent lineage groups: none recorded
Explanatory view
When the evidence arrived—and which sources travel together
Evidence ledger
Receipts, values, rights and interpretation limits
Each public archive is a redacted aggregate capsule bound to the original input hash. Raw readings, IP-valued answers, contact data and person-level records are not copied into the archive.
| Relation | Evidence / lineage | Value or summary | Observed | Interpretation limit |
|---|
Adversarial reading
Countercases, limitations and falsifiers
These records are part of the report, not caveats hidden after the conclusion.
Countercases
- A recorded interference indicator can arise from measurement conditions rather than a general filtering policy.
- countercase id
- countercase-measurement-artifact
- disposition
- Retained; without a live cited measurement the desk names the gap instead of inventing a rate.
Limitations
- The instruments observe different test populations with different denominators and units.
- consequence
- No weighted average or single national percentage is calculated.
- limitation id
- limitation-incompatible-denominators
- Live rights-eligible network measurements were unavailable. Excluded: ooni-gfw (not-live), in-path-interference (not-live), censored-planet (not-live), and inside-view (not-live).
- consequence
- The desk publishes an abstention rather than a filtering rate.
- limitation id
- limitation-no-live-network-evidence
Falsifiers
- The observable-interference finding would weaken if independently operated China and control vantages converged within instrument error across repeated windows.
- falsifier id
- falsifier-control-convergence
- status
- not-triggered
- A national-rate estimate would become testable only after a representative sampling frame and common outcome definition exist.
- falsifier id
- falsifier-common-denominator
- status
- evidence-needed
Hypotheses tested
- Network interference affecting China-facing tests is observable across independently produced measurement methods.
- disposition
- abstained
- falsifier ids
- ["falsifier-control-convergence"]
- hypothesis id
- hypothesis-observable-interference
- The headline values estimate one common national filtering rate.
- disposition
- abstained
- falsifier ids
- ["falsifier-common-denominator"]
- hypothesis id
- hypothesis-single-national-rate
Evaluation receipt
Why this became AbstentionReport
The report type is the result of declared deterministic checks. Passing a gate does not imply human reporting occurred.
- citation coverage
- 1.0
- evaluated at
- 2026-08-26T13:03:42Z
- failed gate ids
- ["independent-groups", "fresh-evidence"]
- independent group ids
- []
- minimum independent groups
- 2
- observed independent groups
- 0
- publishable
- no
- status
- failed
| Gate | Result | Observed / required | Receipt detail |
|---|---|---|---|
Every analytical sentence has exact evidence IDssentence-citations | yes | 1 / 1 | The abstention names the missing live measurements without inventing citations. |
Every republished numeric value passes redistribution and reuse gatesnumeric-reuse-rights | yes | 0 / 0 | Live rights-eligible network measurements were unavailable. Excluded: ooni-gfw (not-live), in-path-interference (not-live), censored-planet (not-live), and inside-view (not-live). |
Independent evidence groups after lineage de-duplicationindependent-groups | no | 0 / 2 | No live rights-eligible network measurement remains to count. |
Cited measurements are current under declared source deadlinesfresh-evidence | no | 0 / 1 | Freshness comes from the validated evidence mesh, not the machine desk's wall clock. |
Countercases, limitations and falsifiers are explicitadversarial-review | yes | 3 / 3 | The report includes all three adversarial-review surfaces. |
Reproducibility
Methodology
- Hash the exact four public input files and validate their declared schemas.
- reproducible
- yes
- step id
- method-pin-inputs
- Resolve predeclared network values and denominators against JSON pointers in their exact raw artifact bytes.
- reproducible
- yes
- step id
- method-bind-evidence
- Republish and count only values whose mesh resource permits derived or full-text reuse with open or attribution-required redistribution.
- reproducible
- yes
- step id
- method-gate-rights
- Resolve independence groups through the evidence mesh before counting corroboration.
- reproducible
- yes
- step id
- method-deduplicate-lineage
- Require complete sentence citations, fresh evidence, independent groups and adversarial review.
- reproducible
- yes
- step id
- method-gate-publication
Correction and revision history
Current head and preserved revisions
The mutable report JSON points at the current case; this revision stays addressable even after a correction.
- Correction status
- none
- Last corrected
- No material correction recorded
- Policy
- A changed input receipt creates a new immutable revision; material errors are named in this history.
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Initial deterministic revision for this exact cited input set.
- Revision
machinev-539389b2bf97e09ff5b287b4- Change type
- initial-publication
- Published
- 12 Aug 2026 · 16:51 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-f22f305f307866121353565d- Change type
- data-refresh
- Published
- 12 Aug 2026 · 19:56 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-06d6d791c63f7ea229f7ef84- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 13 Aug 2026 · 05:52 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-30c6872df9cd8528d793b36a- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 13 Aug 2026 · 08:12 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-82e860199998691e31af4a5c- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 13 Aug 2026 · 14:16 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
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machinev-64f016a25eafdb288d0bf588- Change type
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- 13 Aug 2026 · 19:46 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
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machinev-4922c7c9419e091569d6ceba- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 14 Aug 2026 · 03:57 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
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machinev-ce72808af0048937fc31b859- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 14 Aug 2026 · 10:39 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-5cef31fa32eca8d7910626af- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 14 Aug 2026 · 14:03 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-ba64b8b909dcc36622f0f2cb- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 14 Aug 2026 · 19:42 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
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machinev-8412c57fd4f37c224e42ca14- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 15 Aug 2026 · 02:08 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
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machinev-8003dbc0bd6e678cdb23cb13- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 15 Aug 2026 · 07:19 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-9eb09629e25e643bd095a631- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 15 Aug 2026 · 13:04 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
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machinev-44601e9340d4588f15e28f48- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 15 Aug 2026 · 13:07 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-8c8cc87127b481248eaf5c4d- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 15 Aug 2026 · 13:23 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-582cc95ef8d64d5c2c3f9fbd- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 15 Aug 2026 · 18:52 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-298ffd57bbecb7d27688e3dd- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 15 Aug 2026 · 18:54 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-35446fd21ec033ee8b41d12e- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 15 Aug 2026 · 19:15 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
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machinev-b28e6aa25c47f5612499076a- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 16 Aug 2026 · 02:02 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-81baf71220e567baf30e4592- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 16 Aug 2026 · 02:05 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-b4b943680eea4ceba65870b3- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 16 Aug 2026 · 02:15 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
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machinev-946cdd79759fa7618249bd9d- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 16 Aug 2026 · 07:19 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
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machinev-28b157779aeaa4371f691b72- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 16 Aug 2026 · 13:07 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
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machinev-953d4773331b7a8f9faf1192- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 16 Aug 2026 · 13:09 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
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machinev-0344e55baa57f0159fca4266- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 16 Aug 2026 · 13:21 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
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machinev-0b8987ea3174dc6590a5dc22- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 16 Aug 2026 · 19:07 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
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machinev-aa53cf7212a1cd43c583cc06- Change type
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- 17 Aug 2026 · 02:11 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-ce515daffa912909c9ac6796- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 17 Aug 2026 · 07:47 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-b98fea7f9e5a5a3acf23dafa- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 18 Aug 2026 · 11:54 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-3285ef34c3a1ba3de8223950- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 19 Aug 2026 · 07:32 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
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machinev-311dc403f9323c1522445054- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 20 Aug 2026 · 03:58 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
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machinev-42199ebaa27f319f743616a8- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 20 Aug 2026 · 07:34 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-bf3887f602c2c2376f486699- Change type
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- 20 Aug 2026 · 14:52 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-21011a599b2ad49c5c795c80- Change type
- data-refresh
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- 22 Aug 2026 · 02:07 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-9e4ce82aafbbbd83cf6bdf00- Change type
- data-refresh
- Published
- 22 Aug 2026 · 07:39 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-d9761bab226a0c8288f550c7- Change type
- data-refresh
- Published
- 22 Aug 2026 · 13:29 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-de60edeecde015f1f9b94390- Change type
- data-refresh
- Published
- 22 Aug 2026 · 19:02 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-61826a1941b1b224a85e054d- Change type
- data-refresh
- Published
- 23 Aug 2026 · 05:22 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-0510f900c5d24be817b894aa- Change type
- data-refresh
- Published
- 23 Aug 2026 · 08:29 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-35924b9b522e81fe498a2dfb- Change type
- data-refresh
- Published
- 23 Aug 2026 · 18:03 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-5e1357c794ace1a5f3d423cc- Change type
- data-refresh
- Published
- 24 Aug 2026 · 02:38 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-ce9725a1c1a4fb2e27fe7f8d- Change type
- data-refresh
- Published
- 24 Aug 2026 · 17:22 UTC
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Deterministic refresh after a cited input, gate, or publication state changed.
- Revision
machinev-2ce5e38a7ffec550050589ac- Change type
- data-refresh
- Published
- 26 Aug 2026 · 13:03 UTC
- Current report
- report.json
- Current revision
machinev-2ce5e38a7ffec550050589ac
- Source case
machine-source-80b1b871bed35fc29d24
- Source revision
machine-sourcev-83c0999ae26834c7450cca8a
Safety boundary
What the machine was not allowed to use
- analysis_mode
- value
- deterministic-machine-analysis
- human_interviews
- value
- none
- individual_allegations
- value
- none
- inferred_motives
- value
- none
- personal_data
- value
- none
- prohibited_interpretations
- value
- ["Do not treat aggregate measurements as claims about identifiable people.", "Do not infer intent, motive, or responsibility from technical correlation.", "Do not describe this output as human reporting or a human interview."]