Compare historical business conditions, city housing persistence, EU mirror trade and documented changes to official statistics.
Is production running ahead of orders?
The production diffusion index is 51.7; new orders are 50.5. Their spread is +1.2 index points.
A positive spread suggests different survey breadth for output and demand. Check inventories, export orders and realized sales before inferring unwanted production.
Inspect the evidenceAre customers taking longer to pay?
The reported measure is 72.2 days. A same-month prior-year comparison is not yet captured.
Coverage is industrial enterprises above the designated size. Longer collection or turnover can motivate investigation; these aggregates do not identify defaults or concealment.
Inspect the evidenceIs inventory taking longer to clear?
The reported measure is 21.3 days. A same-month prior-year comparison is not yet captured.
Coverage is industrial enterprises above the designated size. Longer collection or turnover can motivate investigation; these aggregates do not identify defaults or concealment.
Inspect the evidenceHow persistent are new-home price declines?
34 of 70 cities with six consecutive monthly readings ending 2026-08 have price declines in all six months.
This measures the persistence of reported monthly falls. Missing months break the streak; the count does not measure national property losses or transactions.
Inspect the evidenceHow persistent are resale-home price declines?
48 of 70 cities with six consecutive monthly readings ending 2026-08 have price declines in all six months.
This measures the persistence of reported monthly falls. Missing months break the streak; the count does not measure national property losses or transactions.
Inspect the evidenceEurope's exports to China
EU27 exports to China were €14.71 billion in 2026-08, +3.2% from the same month a year earlier.
Nominal monthly goods trade reported by the EU; euro exchange rates, valuation and shipping lags can affect changes.
Inspect the evidenceEurope's imports from China
EU27 imports from China were €53.06 billion in 2026-08, +19.7% from the same month a year earlier.
Nominal monthly goods trade reported by the EU; euro exchange rates, valuation and shipping lags can affect changes.
Inspect the evidenceEurope's exports to Myanmar
EU27 exports to Myanmar were €0.03 billion in 2026-08, +79.9% from the same month a year earlier.
Nominal monthly goods trade reported by the EU; euro exchange rates, valuation and shipping lags can affect changes.
Inspect the evidenceEurope's imports from Myanmar
EU27 imports from Myanmar were €0.32 billion in 2026-08, +4.8% from the same month a year earlier.
Nominal monthly goods trade reported by the EU; euro exchange rates, valuation and shipping lags can affect changes.
Inspect the evidenceEurope's exports to Pakistan
EU27 exports to Pakistan were €0.28 billion in 2026-08, +22.4% from the same month a year earlier.
Nominal monthly goods trade reported by the EU; euro exchange rates, valuation and shipping lags can affect changes.
Inspect the evidenceEurope's imports from Pakistan
EU27 imports from Pakistan were €0.69 billion in 2026-08, +4.8% from the same month a year earlier.
Nominal monthly goods trade reported by the EU; euro exchange rates, valuation and shipping lags can affect changes.
Inspect the evidenceChina: how broad is the trade change?
In 2026-08, 70 of 97 comparable HS2 chapters increased in euro value and 27 declined (eu imports from partner).
Each chapter counts equally; small chapters weigh as much as machinery. Missing and zero year-earlier denominators are excluded. This is not a firm survey.
Inspect the evidenceChina: how broad is the trade change?
In 2026-08, 52 of 97 comparable HS2 chapters increased in euro value and 45 declined (eu exports to partner).
Each chapter counts equally; small chapters weigh as much as machinery. Missing and zero year-earlier denominators are excluded. This is not a firm survey.
Inspect the evidencePakistan: how broad is the trade change?
In 2026-08, 48 of 84 comparable HS2 chapters increased in euro value and 36 declined (eu imports from partner).
Each chapter counts equally; small chapters weigh as much as machinery. Missing and zero year-earlier denominators are excluded. This is not a firm survey.
Inspect the evidencePakistan: how broad is the trade change?
In 2026-08, 43 of 81 comparable HS2 chapters increased in euro value and 38 declined (eu exports to partner).
Each chapter counts equally; small chapters weigh as much as machinery. Missing and zero year-earlier denominators are excluded. This is not a firm survey.
Inspect the evidenceMyanmar: how broad is the trade change?
In 2026-08, 23 of 49 comparable HS2 chapters increased in euro value and 26 declined (eu imports from partner).
Each chapter counts equally; small chapters weigh as much as machinery. Missing and zero year-earlier denominators are excluded. This is not a firm survey.
Inspect the evidenceMyanmar: how broad is the trade change?
In 2026-08, 27 of 48 comparable HS2 chapters increased in euro value and 21 declined (eu exports to partner).
Each chapter counts equally; small chapters weigh as much as machinery. Missing and zero year-earlier denominators are excluded. This is not a firm survey.
Inspect the evidenceHS 3004: value and weight move in opposite directions
In 2026-08, eu imports from partner changed +115.0% in euro value and -23.2% in net mass from a year earlier. Product: Medicaments consisting of mixed or unmixed products for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, put up in measured doses "incl. those for transdermal administration" or in forms or packings for retail sale (excl. goods of heading 3002, 3005 or 3006).
A lead for investigation: price, quality, product mix, exchange rates and classification changes can explain divergence. It is not evidence of falsification.
Inspect the evidenceHS 2933: value and weight move in opposite directions
In 2026-08, eu exports to partner changed +85.9% in euro value and -21.2% in net mass from a year earlier. Product: Heterocyclic compounds with nitrogen hetero-atom{s} only.
A lead for investigation: price, quality, product mix, exchange rates and classification changes can explain divergence. It is not evidence of falsification.
Inspect the evidenceHS 3818: value and weight move in opposite directions
In 2026-08, eu exports to partner changed +49.6% in euro value and -45.1% in net mass from a year earlier. Product: Chemical elements and compounds doped for use in electronics, in the form of discs, wafers, cylinders, rods or similar forms, or cut into discs, wafers or similar forms, whether or not polished or with a uniform epitaxial coating (excl. elements that have been further processed, e.g. by selective diffusion).
A lead for investigation: price, quality, product mix, exchange rates and classification changes can explain divergence. It is not evidence of falsification.
Inspect the evidenceHS 2710: value and weight move in opposite directions
In 2026-08, eu imports from partner changed +62.8% in euro value and -28.3% in net mass from a year earlier. Product: Petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals (excl. crude); preparations containing >= 70% by weight of petroleum oils or of oils obtained from bituminous minerals, these oils being the basic constituents of the preparations, n.e.s.; waste oils containing mainly petroleum or bituminous minerals(2002-2500);Petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals (excl. crude); preparations containing >= 70% by weight of petroleum oils or of oils obtained from bituminous minerals, these oils being the basic constituents of the preparations, n.e.s.(1988-2001).
A lead for investigation: price, quality, product mix, exchange rates and classification changes can explain divergence. It is not evidence of falsification.
Inspect the evidenceHS 7208: value and weight move in opposite directions
In 2026-08, eu imports from partner changed +55.8% in euro value and -1.1% in net mass from a year earlier. Product: Flat-rolled products of iron or non-alloy steel, of a width >= 600 mm, hot-rolled, not clad, plated or coated.
A lead for investigation: price, quality, product mix, exchange rates and classification changes can explain divergence. It is not evidence of falsification.
Inspect the evidenceHS 8486: value and weight move in opposite directions
In 2026-08, eu exports to partner changed +28.9% in euro value and -26.6% in net mass from a year earlier. Product: Machines and apparatus of a kind used solely or principally for the manufacture of semiconductor boules or wafers, semiconductor devices, electronic integrated circuits or flat panel displays; machines and apparatus specified in note 9 C to chapter 84; parts and accessories, n.e.s..
A lead for investigation: price, quality, product mix, exchange rates and classification changes can explain divergence. It is not evidence of falsification.
Inspect the evidenceHS 8507: value and weight move in opposite directions
In 2026-08, eu exports to partner changed -28.0% in euro value and +25.8% in net mass from a year earlier. Product: Electric accumulators, incl. separators therefor, whether or not square or rectangular; parts thereof (excl. spent and those of unhardened rubber or textiles).
A lead for investigation: price, quality, product mix, exchange rates and classification changes can explain divergence. It is not evidence of falsification.
Inspect the evidenceHS 2846: value and weight move in opposite directions
In 2026-08, eu imports from partner changed +43.7% in euro value and -9.6% in net mass from a year earlier. Product: Compounds, inorganic or organic, of rare-earth metals, of yttrium or of scandium or of mixtures of these metals.
A lead for investigation: price, quality, product mix, exchange rates and classification changes can explain divergence. It is not evidence of falsification.
Inspect the evidence